Yen Rallies As Safe-Haven Demand Grows After Wall Street Slump

4 Sep 2024
Yen

What’s going on here?

The Japanese yen spiked to 144.89 per dollar as traders sought safety following a major Wall Street sell-off and losses in Asian stocks.

What does this mean?

The yen, a safe-haven currency, rallied about 0.4% to 144.89 per dollar before settling at 145.15. Traders fled to safety after a big sell-off on Wall Street and declines in Asian stocks. Meanwhile, riskier currencies like the Australian dollar and sterling struggled, with the Aussie slipping 0.13% to $0.67025 and the pound flat at $1.3117. The euro gained 0.13% to $1.1058, and another safe-haven, the Swiss franc, strengthened by around 0.26% to 0.8480 per dollar. Recent soft US manufacturing data added to fears of a potential hard landing for the US economy, making markets jittery.

Why should I care?

For markets: Seeking shelter in turbulent times.

As traders moved to safe-haven assets, the dollar-yen pair saw US Treasury yields drop nearly 7 basis points to 3.8253%. This shift highlights the market's growing nervousness. Despite economic concerns, the US dollar remained strong against most major currencies, reflecting global uncertainty. Cryptocurrencies mirrored riskier assets' struggles, with bitcoin and ether dropping around 2.9% and 3.4%, respectively.

The bigger picture: Critical data points on the horizon.

Investors are anxiously awaiting key economic data this week, including the US jobs report on Friday, which is expected to show a 165,000 job increase in August. Job openings data on Wednesday and jobless claims on Thursday will also be crucial. Increased bets on a 50 basis point Fed rate cut, rising to 38% from 30% according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, highlight market sensitivities. Economists and strategists emphasize the importance of this data, noting it could heavily influence Federal Reserve actions and investor confidence.

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