Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results 2024
Latest results from just now
Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump
Kamala HarrisK. HarrisHarris
Total reported
3,526,793Results timing: Counting is expected to extend beyond election night, primarily because election workers are not allowed to start processing mail ballots until Election Day.
It’s still very early in Pennsylvania, but in the first few counties where voting is complete, along with hundreds of completed precincts across the state, Trump is running ever so slightly better than he needs to win.
Results timing: Counting is expected to extend beyond election night, primarily because election workers are not allowed to start processing mail ballots until Election Day.
It’s still very early in Pennsylvania, but in the first few counties where voting is complete, along with hundreds of completed precincts across the state, Trump is running ever so slightly better than he needs to win.
Results timing: Counting is expected to extend beyond election night, primarily because election workers are not allowed to start processing mail ballots until Election Day.
EriePittsburghAllentownPhiladelphiaEriePittsburghAllentownPhiladelphia
Circles show margin for leading candidate in the ballots counted so far.
Circles show our estimate for which candidate leads in the remaining votes.
Circles show margin for leading candidate in the ballots counted so far.
Percent of votes in
Estimated remaining votes Allegheny Harris +23 530,107 75% 177,000 Philadelphia Harris +59 319,989 46% 379,000 Lancaster Trump +6 185,990 65% 99,000 Berks Trump +11 156,319 76% 50,000 Montgomery Harris +40 148,508 29% 356,000 Bucks Harris +11 121,478 31% 271,000 Lackawanna Harris +3 114,589 >95% <5,000 Cumberland Trump +8 109,152 74% 38,000 Butler Trump +32 106,057 89% 13,000 Westmoreland Trump +32 101,983 49% 105,000 Northampton Harris +0.3 101,256 58% 73,000 Luzerne Trump +11 86,283 57% 66,000 Delaware Harris +38 83,021 26% 236,000 Lehigh Harris +8 76,205 41% 109,000 Washington Trump +22 69,593 58% 50,000 York Harris +6 61,295 25% 185,000 Lycoming Trump +42 59,186 >95% <3,000 Dauphin Harris +27 57,730 39% 89,000 Franklin Trump +55 56,007 67% 28,000 Monroe Harris +11 48,318 57% 37,000 Fayette Trump +33 47,594 75% 16,000 Lawrence Trump +34 46,767 >95% — Centre Trump +5 46,058 60% 31,000 Erie Harris +28 43,344 32% 92,000 Lebanon Trump +21 42,226 57% 31,000 Indiana Trump +39 42,035 >95% <2,000 Chester Harris +12 35,556 11% 280,000 Adams Trump +48 34,340 57% 26,000 Northumberland Trump +50 33,438 77% 10,000 Somerset Trump +66 31,763 77% 10,000 Carbon Trump +47 26,612 76% 8,000 Crawford Trump +34 26,548 62% 17,000 Blair Trump +51 26,149 40% 40,000 Bradford Trump +46 25,313 81% 6,000 Bedford Trump +67 23,401 82% 5,000 Mercer Trump +29 23,198 40% 35,000 Jefferson Trump +58 23,078 >95% <1,000 Armstrong Trump +61 21,031 57% 16,000 Tioga Trump +51 20,281 93% 2,000 Clarion Trump +53 19,343 >95% <1,000 Venango Trump +55 19,172 71% 8,000 Wayne Trump +30 19,057 63% 11,000 Huntingdon Trump +49 18,479 79% 5,000 Clinton Trump +41 18,436 >95% <900 Elk Trump +47 17,097 >95% <900 Mifflin Trump +68 17,080 76% 6,000 Greene Trump +45 16,792 95% 900 Susquehanna Trump +42 16,312 73% 6,000 Wyoming Trump +37 14,988 >95% <800 Cambria Harris +1.3 14,842 21% 57,000 Beaver Trump +28 14,369 15% 79,000 Columbia Trump +36 13,367 41% 19,000 Schuylkill Trump +46 13,180 18% 60,000 Pike Trump +53 11,914 34% 23,000 Juniata Trump +69 9,872 80% 2,000 McKean Trump +45 9,440 47% 11,000 Warren Trump +24 9,420 45% 12,000 Potter Trump +62 9,042 >95% <500 Snyder Trump +69 8,369 42% 12,000 Fulton Trump +73 7,993 >95% <400 Union Trump +6 7,826 38% 13,000 Montour Trump +32 4,207 43% 5,600 Perry Trump +65 2,514 10% 23,000 Clearfield Trump +56 1,155 3% 40,000 Forest Trump +5 601 23% 2,050 Sullivan Trump +26 128 3% 3,600 Cameron — 0 0% 2,400About this race
About this raceThe most important battleground state, Pennsylvania has the highest number of electoral votes. For either candidate, a path to victory without the state would be complicated.
Our live forecast relies on detailed information, like method of vote and some precinct-level results, to make its estimates for Pennsylvania.
Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Very likely Likely Lean Tossup Lean Likely Very likely
It’s a tossup
No clear leader
Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Range of estimates +15+10+5+5+10+15
Trump +1.9
Harris +14 to Trump +17
Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Very likely Likely Lean Tossup Lean Likely Very likely
It’s a tossup
No clear leader
Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Range of estimates +15+10+5+5+10+15
Trump +1.9
Harris +14 to Trump +17
Our live forecast relies on detailed information, like method of vote and some precinct-level results, to make its estimates for Pennsylvania.
The lines below show how the reported margin compares with our estimate of the final margin, which includes a shaded range of our model’s uncertainty. As more votes are counted, the uncertainty around these estimates will narrow.
NYT estimate Reported vote share
Chart showing changes in the estimated margin over time +15+10+5Even+5+10+15 8 PM
Chart showing changes in the chance of winning over time ; ; 20%40%60%80%100% 8 PM
Chart showing changes in the total expected vote over time 20%40%60%80%100% 8 PM
Pre-election polls
At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, past election results and demographic data.
4%
Our model
As votes come in, we compare actual results to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model of the remaining vote.
74%
Actual results
As a county reports more votes, these tabulated results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.
22%
Percent of votes in
Lackawanna Harris +3 5.3 points more Republican 114,589 >95% Lycoming Trump +42 0.3 points more Republican 59,186 >95% Lawrence Trump +34 4.4 points more Republican 46,767 >95% Indiana Trump +39 1.7 points more Republican 42,035 >95% Jefferson Trump +58 0.4 points more Democratic 23,078 >95% Clarion Trump +53 2 points more Republican 19,343 >95% Clinton Trump +41 4.6 points more Republican 18,436 >95% Elk Trump +47 2 points more Republican 17,097 >95% Wyoming Trump +37 1.7 points more Republican 14,988 >95% Potter Trump +62 1.5 points more Republican 9,042 >95% Fulton Trump +73 1.3 points more Republican 7,993 >95%
