NHL Stanley Cup playoff 2024 chances, projections and probabilities

Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team’s probability of advancing through the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup.The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the playoffs, which factors in each team’s projected strength, current health, and their playoff path. Each team’s projected strength is based on the projected value of the players on its roster based on their Offensive Rating and Defensive Rating. You can read more about the model here.This page will be updated at the conclusion of the final game of the night. Click to expand any chart for a larger view. All projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last updated: June 10, 11:30 PM EST

(Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images)

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Dom Luszczyszyn is a national NHL writer for The Athletic who writes primarily about hockey analytics and new ways of looking at the game. Previously, he’s worked at The Hockey News, The Nation Network and Hockey Graphs. Follow Dom on Twitter @domluszczyszyn